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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Euro stays upbeat as dollar slumps, DAX rebounds strongly
Forex news from the European morning session on Mar 5, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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US Dollar sees upbeat Services ISM report come a little too late
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is unable to recover this Wednesday with again deepened out losses in already turbulent week for the DXY. The downward move comes as
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Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
SEO
TradeWar
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Germany reportedly calls for EU to ease fiscal rules in order to bolster defense spending
Let's make the rules to conform to what we want to do, eh?
EUR
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US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 28 February +20.4% vs -1.2% prior
Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 28 February 2025
USD
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NZD/USD gains to near 0.5680 as US Dollar continues to underperform
The NZD/USD pair recovers its intraday losses and turns positive in European trading hours on Wednesday.
NZDUSD
Fed
RBNZ
Employment
China
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China president Xi continues to push the goal of common prosperity
The Chinese state radio with a remark by Xi on the sidelines of the National People's Congress
CNY
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China: Domestic demand prioritised to offset tariffs – Standard Chartered
NPC set targets for growth at 5%, inflation 2%, official budget deficit 4% of GDP, largely as we expected.
China
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Gold softer after Secretary Lutnick reiterates Trump could cancel tariffs
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) eases again, though less severe after earlier losses in the Asian trading session and trades around $2,920 at the time of writing on Wednesday. With tariffs still in place and several more tariffs to come for Europe and other
Gold
Commodities
UnitedStates
SEO
TradeWar
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Venezuelan oil supply at risk – ING
The oil market came under pressure again yesterday, with ICE Brent settling a little more than 0.8% lower.
Oil
Technical Analysis
Banks
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USD/CNH: China's 2025 fiscal deficit target is highest in over three decades – BBH
USD/CNH is consolidating near recent lows around 7.2600. China boosts fiscal spending.
USDCNH
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Pound Sterling strengthens against US Dollar as US ADP Employment misses estimates
The Pound Sterling (GBP) jumps to near 1.2850 against the US Dollar (USD) in North American trading hours on Wednesday, the highest level seen since November 12.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
TradeWar
SEO
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USD/CNH: Decline is likely part of a lower range of 7.2400/7.2800 – UOB Group
Further US Dollar (USD) weakness vs Chinese Yuan (CNH) is not ruled out, but any decline is likely part of a lower range of 7.2400/7.2800.
USDCNH
Technical Analysis
Banks
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NZD/USD: Orr resigns from his position in the RBNZ – BBH
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr unexpectedly resigned, BBH's FX analysts report.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
RBNZ
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USD/JPY: To trade between 148.80 and 150.70 – UOB Group
Outlook is unclear; US Dollar (USD) could trade between 148.80 and 150.70 vs Japanese Yen (JPY).
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
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AUD/USD: RBA projects growth to return to its trend rate of 2% over 2025 – BBH
AUD/USD is firmer on US Dollar (USD) weakness, BBH's FX analysts report.
AUDUSD
RBA
Banks
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Eurozone January PPI +0.8% vs +0.5% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 5 March 2025
EUR
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NZD/USD: A slim chance of NZD reaching 0.5565 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to trade in a higher range of 0.5625/0.5670 vs US Dollar (USD).
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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US futures extend gains as tech shares look for a solid bounce back
S&P 500 futures now up 0.9% on the day
Stocks
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China NPC: Work report delivers on key market expectations – UOB Group
The third annual session of the 14th National People's Congress (NPC) is held in Beijing on 5-11 Mar.
China
GDP
Banks
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USD: The prospect of the US withdrawing its security umbrella from Europe is a crisis – ING
The trade-weighted Dollar Index (DXY) broke decisively under 106 yesterday as European currencies rallied on the prospects of major fiscal stimulus.
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Banks
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WTI slumps to near $67.50 as Trump tariffs weigh on global Oil demand outlook
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, falls sharply to near $67.50 in Wednesday’s European session.
Oil
WTI
TradeWar
UnitedStates
OPEC
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
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UK February final services PMI 51.0 vs 51.1 prelim
Latest data released by S&P Global - 5 March 2025
GBP
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Dollar struggles continue in European trading today
EUR/USD already moving up above the 1.0700 mark
USD
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Italy Q4 final GDP +0.1% vs 0.0% q/q prelim
Latest data released by Istat - 5 March 2025
EUR
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Eurozone February final services PMI 50.6 vs 50.7 prelim
Latest data released by HCOB - 5 March 2025
EUR
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Germany February final services PMI 51.1 vs 52.2 prelim
Latest data released by HCOB - 5 March 2025
EUR
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France February final services PMI 45.3 vs 44.5 prelim
Latest data released by HCOB - 5 March 2025
EUR
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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Tests resistance at 149.50 near nine-day EMA
USD/JPY gains ground after registering losses in the previous two successive days, trading around 149.40 during the European session on Wednesday.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Majors
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Italy February services PMI 53.0 vs 50.9 expected
Latest data released by HCOB - 5 March 2025
EUR
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AUD/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6285 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) could strengthen further vs US Dollar (USD); any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6285.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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European natural gas market sells off – ING
The European natural gas market sold off yesterday with TTF settling nearly 3.9% lower on the day, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Gas
Energy
Technical Analysis
Banks
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GBP/USD: The next major resistance at 1.2900 is likely out of reach – UOB Group
Rapid rise could continue; the next major resistance at 1.2900 is likely out of reach.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Fxstreet
Crude oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Wednesday, early in the European session.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
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GBP: BoE hawks, doves and centrists speak today – ING
At 3:30pm CET today, Bank of England MPC members Andrew Bailey, Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Alan Taylor tesify to the Treasury Select Comittee on February's 25bp rate cut, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Breaking: ADP Employment Change surprised to the downside in February
The US labor market is set to take center stage this week as fresh concerns mount that the economy may be losing its momentum — a sentiment echoed by recent slower growth and worrisome fundamental data.
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EUR/USD: Strong upward momentum shows no signs of slowing – UOB Group
Strong upward momentum shows no signs of slowing, but it is unclear if Euro (EUR) can break above 1.0665 today vs US Dollar (USD).
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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EUR/USD strengthens on soft US ADP Employment, German debt reforms
EUR/USD rallies to near 1.0720 in Wednesday's North American session, the highest level seen this year.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
DollarIndex
SEO
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EUR: A fiscal coalition of the willing – ING
As above, EUR/USD broke decisivley higher on prospects of a fiscal bazooka out of Europe.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Spain February services PMI 56.2 vs 55.3 expected
Latest data released by HCOB - 5 March 2025
EUR
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