Gold prices are trading higher midweek as investors digest a softer-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for May, alongside renewed optimism surrounding US-China trade relations.
The Euro (EUR) is up marginally vs. the US Dollar (USD), trading toward the mid-1.14s on the back of the broader market’s muted reaction to the US/China talks.
Yesterday's British labour market data reinforced the concerns of those backing the United Kingdom. The unemployment rate rose as expected, wage growth slowed unexpectedly, and the number of people in employment fell by around 109,000.
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range of 7.1730/7.1970 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has been one of the best performers in the G10 over the past month, helped by some stronger-than-expected inflation and growth data that ultimately led to a Bank of Canada hold on 4 June, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
This week hasn’t shown a clear direction for the dollar so far. Uncertainty around how far-reaching the US-China trade talks in London will be has left room for domestic factors to shape relative performance across G10 currencies.
Increasing momentum suggests further upside pressure; the major resistance at 0.6555 is likely out of reach. In the longer run, bias remains on the upside, but it remains to be seen if AUD can break clearly above 0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/CAD recovers its recent losses, trading around 1.5640 during the European hours on Wednesday. Technical analysis on the daily chart points to the potential weakening of a bearish bias, with the currency cross hovering near the upper boundary of the descending channel.
Further Pound Sterling (GBP) weakness is not ruled out against US Dollar (USD); oversold conditions suggest any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level.
This week’s moves are almost entirely driven by US-related events. The only Euro input comes from scheduled ECB speeches, which so far have reinforced the less dovish tone set by President Christine Lagarde last week, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range of 1.1385/1.1460. In the longer run, EUR appears to have entered a range trading phase between 1.1330 and 1.1495, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Oil prices are showing a moderate reversal on Wednesday, as the vague news about the US-China trade deal has been taken with more scepticism than enthusiasm.
The EUR/JPY cross posts modest gains near 165.50 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR) amid the improved risk sentiment as positive developments from US-China trade talks undermine the JPY's safe-haven status.
The USD/CHF pair extends its consolidative price move through the Asian session on Wednesday and remains confined in a range held over the past two weeks or so amid mixed cues.
The USD/JPY pair advances for the first time in the week, clearing Monday’s high of 144.95, as the US Dollar (USD) climbs on speculation that Washington and Beijing might reach a trade agreement in London. This has pushed the major above 145.00, posting gains of over 0.24%.
Silver price faces resistance near $37.00 and retreats by some 0.50% on Tuesday as the US dollar stages a comeback, with investors growing more confident of a US-China deal later in the day. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $36.52, below its opening price.
EUR/USD remains stable during Tuesday’s North American session as investors await updates on US-China trade talks in London and the release of the latest inflation figures in the United States (US). At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.1423, virtually unchanged.
Gold price clings to modest gains on Tuesday after bouncing off a daily low near the $3,300 figure as talks between the United States (US) and China appear to be progressing well, improving risk appetite among investors who are driving US equities higher. The XAU/USD trades at $3,328, up 0.10%.
The Euro (EUR) is also entering Tuesday’s NA session unchanged vs. the US Dollar (USD) with a modest recovery of mild late Asian/early European session weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is entering Tuesday’s NA session unchanged from Monday’s close, recovering from mild weakness observed in late Asian / early European trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Currency markets are generally quiet as we move into Tuesday’s NA session. All of the G10 currencies are trading in a relatively tight range, with the exception of GBP as it underperforms on the back of a weaker domestic employment release.
USD/JPY briefly breached the psychologically significant 145.00 level before pulling back, as dovish remarks from BOJ Governor Ueda reinforced market expectations for a slow and cautious policy normalization.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 7.1700/7.1900 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 144.00/145.00. In the longer run, increase in momentum is not sufficient to indicate a sustained advance just yet; USD must first break and hold above 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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