The tentative improvement in global investor risk sentiment contributed to the underperformance of the yen over the past week alongside the other traditional safe haven currency of the Swiss franc.
Donald Trump's tariff policies and protectionist agenda pose long-term risks to the US dollar, destabilizing financial markets and eroding trust in American institutions that have supported the dollar’s dominance, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
Rebound in USD/JPY continued as the Bessent-Kato meeting saw no mention of FX levels. Pair was last at 143.43 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
It's been a quiet start to the week in financial markets, with cross-market levels of volatility falling. There has not been too much tariff-related news over the weekend, although it does seem US consumers could soon start to feel the bite.
Dollar Index (DXY) held on to recent gains amid relative calm (no fresh tariff angst). While tariff uncertainties linger, recent developments pointed to signs of de-escalation. DXY was last at 99.62 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
The mood music coming from the European Central Bank (ECB) sounds pretty dovish, with some even happy to speculate over 50bp of rate cuts, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
The USD/CAD pair gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 1.3890 during the European session on Monday. However, technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair continuing to move lower within a clearly defined descending channel.
The GBP/USD pair steadies around 1.3320 during Asian trading hours on Monday, after posting losses in the previous session. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a weakening bullish trend, as the pair breaks below its ascending channel pattern.
The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note around 1.1360 during the Asian session on Monday. The Greenback steadies as traders are confused by mixed signals on US-China trade relations.
The Mexican Peso extended its gains against the US Dollar for the second consecutive day, poised to finish the week with gains of 0.89%, sponsored by an improvement in risk appetite and better-than-expected Mexico economic data. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN trades at 19.52, down 0.32%.
The EUR/GBP pair was seen trading near the 0.8500 mark during Friday's session, edging lower intraday yet holding within the mid-range of 0.8511 to 0.8548. Investors appear cautious amid a light macroeconomic backdrop, with the pair moving in sync with subtle shifts in broader market sentiment.
The EURUSD pair was seen hovering near the 1.1400 region on Friday after easing slightly in the aftermath of the European session. The pair is consolidating within a narrow range between 1.1315 and 1.1391, reflecting a pause in bullish momentum while still holding ground near recent highs.
The Pound Sterling registers losses against the strong US Dollar, yet it remains above 1.3300. A strong UK Retail Sales report failed to underpin Cable, which registers losses of 0.20% as the GBP/USD trades at 1.3311.
Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.7% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies in an environment of broad-based USD strength, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is down a modest 0.3% and showing relative gains against nearly all the G10 currencies, once again trading in tandem with its peers on trade-related headlines while still lagging in terms of magnitude, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is marginally softer on the session but holding up better than its major currency peers to the USD’s broader rebound, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Markets are ending the week on a steadier note. The USD is a little stronger, US equity futures slipping back after yesterday’s pop higher and US Treasurys are a little firmer.
Brent crude has bounced from the lower limit of its downtrend but faces key resistance at $68.70–$70.50. A failure to break higher could trigger a pullback, with $65.30 and $62.30 as key support levels, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
As US-China tariff tensions escalate, early data suggest US importers are shouldering most of the burden, with little price relief from Chinese exporters. Despite sharp tariff hikes, consumer prices remain largely unaffected — for now.
Relative calm continues to be observed this week amid Trump’s de-escalation. Trump continued to speak about how his administration was talking to China about trade even as Beijing denied the existence of negotiations.
On the subject of trade talks, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's discussions with Japan and South Korea seem to be going well, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Euro (EUR) continued to ease lower after hitting a more than 3Y high of 1.1570s. EUR was last at 1.1350 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
The dollar is continuing its positive correlation with US equity markets and is edging higher. Investors seem to be taking positively the newsflow that US-China tariffs could be negotiated substantially lower.
Learn about these institutional level key prices to watch, regardless of your trade direction and methodology. Use tradeCompass to support your decision making, such as where to consider taking partial profits and where may be an interesting range to scalp gold today.
Gold continues to edge lower as more and more positive news on the tariffs front are leading to a repricing in stagflationary expectations. What’s next?
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