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Australian Dollar holds firm amid Fed caution and Iran–Israel diplomatic push
Australian Dollar holds firm amid Fed caution and Iran–Israel diplomatic push
The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the AUD/USD pair holding comfortably within Monday’s trading range.
AUDUSD
RBA
Australia
Fed
Crude oil consolidates as traders await fresh Israel-Iran developments
Crude oil consolidates as traders await fresh Israel-Iran developments
After the initial surge in prices at the start of the conflict, the fears in the market eased given the lack of supply impairment
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1750 and 7.1950 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1750 and 7.1950 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1750 and 7.1950 against the Chinese Yuan (CNH). USD traded in a quiet manner last Friday. USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
US: Section 899 may be weakened in the near future – Commerzbank
US: Section 899 may be weakened in the near future – Commerzbank
Last night, Republican senators presented their version of the 'Big Beautiful Bill', which includes a number of changes. The proposed changes to Section 899 are likely to be particularly relevant for the US Dollar (USD), Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
Banks
DollarIndex
UnitedStates
USD/JPY: Chance to rise above 145.00 – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Chance to rise above 145.00 – UOB Group
There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to rise above 145.00 against Japanese Yen (JPY); the major resistance at 145.50 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, USD is likely to trade in a range between 143.00 and 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
Natural Gas prices climb on fears of LNG disruption via Hormuz – ING
Natural Gas prices climb on fears of LNG disruption via Hormuz – ING
European natural Gas prices rose to their highest level since early April on Monday, after jumping by 4.8% last Friday, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Gas
Commodities
Banks
Energy
US President Trump: I have not reached out to Iran for "Peace Talks" in any way
US President Trump: I have not reached out to Iran for "Peace Talks" in any way
In the latest post on his social media platform on Tuesday, Truth Social, US President Donald Trump said: "I have not reached out to Iran for “Peace Talks” in any way, shape, or form. This is just more HIGHLY FABRICATED, FAKE NEWS! If they want to talk, they know how to reach me.
UnitedStates
Politics
MiddleEast
DollarIndex
GBP/JPY returns above 196.30 after the post-BoJ reversal
GBP/JPY returns above 196.30 after the post-BoJ reversal
The Pound extended its reversal from Monday’s high at 196.85 after the Bank of Japan released its monetary policy decision on Tuesday, but, so far, the pair has remained steady above last week’s highs at 196.00.
GBPJPY
Currencies
Crosses
BOJ
Oil remains on edge – ING
Oil remains on edge – ING
Oil prices are rising again after President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Tehran, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Oil
Banks
Energy
WTI
NZD/USD: Likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6025/0.6085 – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6025/0.6085 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6025/0.6085. In the longer run, upward momentum is increasing, but NZD must first close above 0.6095 before a move to 0.6135 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
S&P 500 rebounds from the 5960 support – Société Générale
S&P 500 rebounds from the 5960 support – Société Générale
The S&P 500 is testing the resilience of its uptrend after rebounding from a key support level near 5960pts, with momentum indicators suggesting caution, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Banks
SP500
Technical Analysis
DXY: Sideways near recent low – OCBC
DXY: Sideways near recent low – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) continued to trade near recent lows as markets navigate higher oil prices owing to geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainties and central bank meetings this week. Dollar Index (DXY) was last at 98.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
EUR/JPY clears key resistance – Société Générale
EUR/JPY clears key resistance – Société Générale
EUR/JPY extends gains after breaking out of a multi-month range, supported by bullish momentum and stable technical indicators, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
EURJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
BoJ: Unchanged as expected – Commerzbank
BoJ: Unchanged as expected – Commerzbank
This morning, the Bank of Japan left its key interest rate unchanged at 0.5%. This decision was anticipated by both economists and the market, and according to the BoJ, it was reached unanimously, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
BOJ
Banks
Japan
CentralBanks
USDJPY
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
USD/CAD falls toward 1.3550 due to higher Oil prices, Canada’s 10-year yield
USD/CAD falls toward 1.3550 due to higher Oil prices, Canada’s 10-year yield
USD/CAD continues to lose ground for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3560 during the European hours on Tuesday.
Macroeconomics
USDCAD
Canada
Majors
Oil
US President Trump: EU not yet offering a fair deal
US President Trump: EU not yet offering a fair deal
US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday, “the European Union (EU) is not yet offering a fair deal.”
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
TradeWar
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD is testing the top of a potential Bullish Flag at $36.60
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD is testing the top of a potential Bullish Flag at $36.60
Silver consolidates above $36.00 with the upside trend intact.Risk-off markets and higher demand for safe havens are supportive of precious metals.XAG/USD is forming a potential Bullish Flag.Silver (XAG/USD) is on a downside correction from all-time highs, near $37.00 hit on Early June.
XAGUSD
Silver
Commodities
Bullish
AUD/USD can retest the 0.6550 level – UOB Group
AUD/USD can retest the 0.6550 level – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) could retest the 0.6550 level against US Dollar (USD) before a more sustained and deeper pullback is likely. In the longer run, AUD appears to have moved into a range-trading phase between 0.6430 and 0.6550, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index leaps to 47.5 in June vs. 35 expected
German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index leaps to 47.5 in June vs. 35 expected
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index jumped to 47.5 in June from 25.2 in May, beating the market forecast of 35 by a wide margin.
Germany
EconomicIndicator
EURUSD
Sentiment
ECB’s Stournaras: Any further rate cuts will depend on data
ECB’s Stournaras: Any further rate cuts will depend on data
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Yannis Stournaras said on Tuesday, “any further rate cuts will depend on data.”
CentralBanks
ECB
InterestRate
EURUSD
Trump: EU not yet offering a fair deal
Trump: EU not yet offering a fair deal
Comments from the US President
market overview
Gold moves higher – ING
Gold moves higher – ING
Gold is moving higher again as Trump’s Tehran warning has sparked haven buying. Prices rose above $3,400/oz in early Asian trading on Tuesday after a 1.4% slide on Monday – the biggest one day decline in a month, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Gold
XAUUSD
Commodities
Metals
Banks
IEA: In the absence of major disruption, Oil markets in 2025 look well supplied
IEA: In the absence of major disruption, Oil markets in 2025 look well supplied
In its monthly oil market report published on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) noted that “in reference to Israel-Iran conflict, in the absence of major disruption, oil markets in 2025 look well supplied.”
Oil
WTI
Commodities
Energy
Macroeconomics
USD/JPY: Bank of Japan keeps rates on hold – ING
USD/JPY: Bank of Japan keeps rates on hold – ING
The Japanese Yen (JPY) move is fairly muted, rising against the dollar to 144.46 (vs 145 previously) then staying range-bound, and JGB futures dropped around 0.1% after the Bank of Japan's decision to keep its policy rate at 0.5% and to slow the JGB tapering from April 2026, ING's FX analyst Frances
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
GBP/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 1.3540/1.3620 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 1.3540/1.3620 – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 1.3540/1.3620. In the longer run, GBP must first close above 1.3640 before a move to 1.3700 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY: Geopolitics to drive price action – OCBC
USD/JPY: Geopolitics to drive price action – OCBC
USD/JPY rose as Trump and PM Ishiba did not agree to a trade deal, while slightsigns of easing geopolitical tensions also saw some unwinding of JPY longs. USD/JPY was last at 144.81 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
USD: Trade versus geopolitical news – ING
USD: Trade versus geopolitical news – ING
The situation in Israel and Iran has shown few signs of de-escalation, and while that is offering intermittent support to the dollar, it has so far failed to generate a major rebound in the greenback, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1510 and 1.160 – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1510 and 1.160 – UOB Group
Momentum indicators remain flattish; Euro (EUR) is expected to trade in a range against US Dollar (USD), likely between 1.1510 and 1.1605.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
EUR: ZEW might underwhelm – ING
EUR: ZEW might underwhelm – ING
EUR/USD price action is so far endorsing our call that markets are not ready to take the pair much above 1.160 just yet.
Banks
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $36.50 amid Israel-Iran war
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $36.50 amid Israel-Iran war
Silver price (XAG/USD) moves higher to near $36.50 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The white metal trades firmly as the aerial war between Israel and Iran has increased demand for safe-haven assets, such as Silver.
Silver
XAGUSD
Fed
DollarIndex
MiddleEast
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Moves above 94.50, resistance appears near three-month highs
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Moves above 94.50, resistance appears near three-month highs
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 94.60 during the European hours on Tuesday. As per the technical analysis of the daily chart, the currency cross remains within an ascending channel pattern, confirming a sustained bullish bias.
AUDJPY
Crosses
Technical Analysis
US Dollar Index (DXY) recovery loses steam above 98.00 despite the risk-off mood
US Dollar Index (DXY) recovery loses steam above 98.00 despite the risk-off mood
Fears of an escalating war between Israel and Iran are boosting demand for safe havens on Tuesday, but the US Dollar is failing to draw any significant support from the context.
DollarIndex
Currencies
Fed
Pound Sterling falls against US Dollar amid Middle East tensions
Pound Sterling falls against US Dollar amid Middle East tensions
The Pound Sterling (GBP) underperforms its peers on Tuesday amid conflict between Israel and Iran. Escalating tensions in the Middle Eash have dampened the risk appetite of investors, resulting in an increase in demand for safe-haven assets.
GBPUSD
BOE
Fed
Inflation
SEO
Forex Today: Markets stabilize ahead of key central bank meetings
Forex Today: Markets stabilize ahead of key central bank meetings
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, June 17:
Majors
Macroeconomics
Currencies
Commodities
EconomicIndicator
EUR/JPY edges lower to near 167.00 following BoJ Governor Ueda’s speech
EUR/JPY edges lower to near 167.00 following BoJ Governor Ueda’s speech
EUR/JPY halts its winning streak that began on June 5, trading around 167.20 during the early European hours on Tuesday. Earlier in the Asian session, the pair reached 167.59, the highest level since July 2024.
EURJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Japan
Eurozone
WTI Oil bounces up on geopolitical tensions but fails to confirm above $72.00
WTI Oil bounces up on geopolitical tensions but fails to confirm above $72.00
Crude prices have been capped at the $72.00 level but remain 12% above May's range.Fears of escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are keeping downside attempts limited.Russia's Deputy Prime Minister, Novak, is pressuring the OPEC+ to reconsider output hikes.
Oil
WTI
OPEC
Energy