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The Israeli strikes on Iranian military sites have created fresh uncertainty in global financial markets. As a result, investors are showing signs of risk aversion.
The mood on the European gas market remains nervous: the next futures contract for the reference price TTF is now trading 5% higher than Tuesday's low, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 0.6% and fully retracing Thursday’s ECB (and US PPI)-driven rally, fading back to the psychologically important 1.15 level.
In addition to Gold, we have also revised upwards our forecasts for Silver, Platinum and Palladium, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading marginally lower vs. the US Dollar (USD) while performing well against most of the G10 currencies, its performance insulated by the Canadian dollar’s relationship to oil prices, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Gold price rose to $3,445 per troy ounce overnight in response to Israel's attacks on Iran, the highest level since the record high almost two months ago, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
The US Dollar (USD) is strengthening broadly on the back of geopolitical tensions as market participants respond to news of Israeli airstrikes launched against Iran, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1700 and 7.1950. In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
In its latest monthly report, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revised its forecast for US Oil production downwards, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
In response to Israel's attacks on Iran, the price of Gold also jumped, albeit without reaching a new record high, Commerzbank's commodity analysts Barbara Lambrecht and Carsten Fritsch notes.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could weaken further against US Dollar (USD), but it is unlikely to reach 0.5970; note that there is another support level at 0.5995.
Gold resumes its upward trajectory after holding key support levels, now challenging recent highs with upside targets in sight, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Brent crude is showing bullish continuation signals after confirming a double bottom and breaking above its consolidation range, with momentum indicators pointing toward further upside, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range of 1.3540/1.3640. In the longer run, GBP must first close above 1.3640 before a move to 1.3700 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The AUD/JPY pair claws back a majority of early losses and rebounds from the intraday low of 92.32 during European trading hours on Friday. Still, the pair is down 0.5% to near 93.30.
The dollar is stronger across the board this morning after Israel attacked Iran's nuclear facilities. The main transmission channel from this specific geopolitical risk and FX is the price of oil, which has rallied around 8% since the Israeli strike.
American consumer confidence regained its smile in early June, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.
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